Generation and Analysis of Typical meteorological years for future weather data and the heatwave detection in Copenhagen
In Environmental Science & Engineering, 2023
Abstract
In this paper, a methodology suggested by IEA EBC Annex 80 was used to generate future weather files and detect heatwaves in future and historical periods for Copenhagen. The result shows that the method got a relatively conservative prediction of temperatures in the long-term future. The duration of heatwave results detected by the new definitions are similar to the results of Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) warmth heatwave definition. For the future period, two kinds of heat wave results were generated which based on historical and future period temperature data respectively. The results suggestion that the change of the adaptability of people and buildings to heat stress with the rise of the overall temperature should be considered when detecting heat wave events (HWEs). Furthermore, taking average temperature into account contributes greatly to obtaining the complete and independent HWEs.